Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.349869 0.414701 0.487047 0.573599 0.674156 0.787127 0.923481
2025-02-02 0.280634 0.372461 0.485737 0.634982 0.825596 1.059962 1.368918
2025-02-09 0.229883 0.331796 0.467128 0.658365 0.919722 1.262198 1.742313
2025-02-16 0.186033 0.288449 0.433223 0.650187 0.963861 1.396983 2.035382
2025-02-23 0.150094 0.248304 0.395152 0.627054 0.979383 1.488680 2.272747
2025-03-02 0.121346 0.213225 0.357939 0.597722 0.978862 1.553076 2.472290
2025-03-09 0.108922 0.201700 0.354551 0.618490 1.054497 1.734790 2.860216
2025-03-16 0.091080 0.177857 0.327442 0.596627 1.058646 1.804891 3.079937
2025-03-23 0.082116 0.168098 0.322367 0.610237 1.121114 1.971424 3.465382
2025-03-30 0.074107 0.158729 0.316476 0.621156 1.179196 2.134577 3.857519
2025-04-06 0.065081 0.145871 0.302335 0.615052 1.205932 2.245953 4.170028
2025-04-13 0.057582 0.134846 0.290074 0.610633 1.234538 2.361860 4.498231
2025-04-20 0.053518 0.130752 0.291493 0.633989 1.319652 2.589729 5.051929
2025-04-27 0.053890 0.136534 0.313804 0.701710 1.497048 3.001475 5.974209
2025-05-04 0.050340 0.132768 0.315551 0.727362 1.594005 3.271078 6.654224
2025-05-11 0.044465 0.122470 0.301728 0.718397 1.619909 3.407064 7.091877
2025-05-18 0.038234 0.110144 0.281584 0.693029 1.608768 3.469156 7.390672
2025-05-25 0.032458 0.097867 0.259720 0.660855 1.579273 3.491228 7.610863
2025-06-01 0.030601 0.095706 0.261666 0.683636 1.671643 3.768445 8.364954
2025-06-08 0.026465 0.086442 0.244780 0.659654 1.656826 3.821085 8.661467
2025-06-15 0.024714 0.083694 0.243999 0.674584 1.732070 4.069826 9.384553
2025-06-22 0.022986 0.080694 0.242140 0.686560 1.801432 4.310920 10.108224
2025-06-29 0.020665 0.075416 0.233406 0.679865 1.825423 4.453790 10.629498